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Permutation and Randomization Tests for Trading System Development: Algorithms in C++
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This book provides the trading system developer with a powerful set of statistical tools for measuring vital aspects of performance that are ignored by most developers.
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- This book provides the trading system developer with a powerful set of statistical tools for measuring vital aspects of performance that are ignored by most developers.All algorithms include intuitive justification, basic theory, all relevant equations, and highly commented C++ code for complete programs that run in a Windows Command Console.Reprogramming them in other languages should be easy, given the detailed explanations of each algorithm.The following topics are covered:Testing for overfitting at the earliest possible stageEvaluating the luckiness-versus-skill of a fully developed system before deploying itTesting the effectiveness and reliability of a trading system factoryRemoving selection bias when screening a large number of indicatorsProbability bounds for future mean returnsBounding typical and catastrophic future drawdownsIs the best indicator or model in a competition truly the best, or just the luckiest?Which markets provide truly superior profits for your trading system?What holding time for your system provides the best risk/return performance?
| Publisher | Independently published |
| Publication date | February 12, 2020 |
| Language | English |
| Print length | 173 pages |
| ISBN-13 | 979-8607808105 |
| Dimensions | 7.44 x 0.39 x 9.69 inches (18.9 x 1 x 24.6 cm) |
| Package Weight | 1 Pound |
Who Should Buy?
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Quantitative Analysts
Perfect for quantitative analysts seeking robust statistical methods for validating trading strategies using C programming.
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Algorithm Developers
Ideal for developers needing algorithms that leverage permutation and randomization tests to assess trading system performance.
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Finance Students
Beneficial for finance students wanting to understand the application of statistical tests in financial models effectively.
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Beginner Programmers
Not suitable for beginners who lack foundational programming knowledge, especially in C or statistical methods.
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Data Processing Editorial Review
Permutation and Randomization Tests for Trading System Development: Algorithms in C++ is a significant contribution to the field of trading system development by Tim Masters, who holds a Ph.D. in Statistics and is known for his authoritative publications on machine learning and trading methodologies. This book addresses the critical issue of utilizing out-of-sample data, emphasizing the importance of its single-use to provide unbiased performance estimates. The Monte Carlo Permutation method is a key statistical technique applied in this book, allowing system developers to assess their indicators against randomized data, ultimately testing their efficacy in a rigorous manner. Readers appreciate the depth of knowledge and practical insights that Masters provides, making this book a valuable resource for traders seeking scientific approaches to system development.
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Pros
- Packed with essential algorithmic insights
- Emphasizes proper use of out-of-sample data
- Monte Carlo methods help avoid overfitting
- Rich content despite shorter length
- Includes commented code for practical use
Cons
- Some readers might prefer more extensive content
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Features & Benefits
- Includes intuitive justification, basic theory, relevant equations, and highly commented C++ code
- Topics covered: overfitting, luckiness-vs-skill evaluation, effectiveness testing, selection bias removal, probability bounds, and more
- Easy reprogramming in other languages
- Evaluates the best indicator or model's luck versus skill
- Identifies markets with truly superior profits
- Determines the best holding time for risk/return performance
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